Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.23
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
17.01.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
07.05.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
30.08.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
03.02.2014 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Chelmsford City
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Chelmsford City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Ebbsfleet United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 44% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.40 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 38%, draw 22%, Chelmsford City 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chelmsford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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