Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.90/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
+2% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2025 Oxford City Oxford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
26.08.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 HT 3-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
03.02.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 HT 0-2 Oxford City Oxford City İBSL
25.11.2023 Oxford City Oxford City 2-2 HT 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers and Oxford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kidderminster Harriers at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.25 for Oxford City.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 61%, draw 20%, Oxford City 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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