Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
60%
-18.9pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.80/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
-3% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 HT 0-2 Oxford City Oxford City İBSL
25.11.2023 Oxford City Oxford City 2-2 HT 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4-0
AWAY Oxford City
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers swept aside Oxford City 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 63% of the ball to Oxford City's 37%, shots finished 18-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 2.00 for Oxford City.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 41%, draw 33%, Oxford City 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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