Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.63
X/2
14%
10.6
X/X
13%
5.22
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
8%
8.78
2/X
8%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
60%
-17.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.23/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.31
-34% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Oxford City Oxford City 2-2 HT 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
3-2
AWAY Oxford City
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers nicked a narrow win over Oxford City 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 56% of the ball to Oxford City's 44%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 Oxford City in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 42%, draw 29%, Oxford City 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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