York City 1-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

York City
1-1 HT 1-1
Maidenhead United
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

York City vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.19
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
9%
6.1
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.48
2/X
4%
13.7
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.48 — our 24% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.40/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.46
-3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

York City vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
28.01.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.08.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL

York City 1-1 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH York City vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City and Maidenhead United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, York City had 64% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 36%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York City and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of York City vs Maidenhead United?

York City 1-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split York City 34%, draw 27%, Maidenhead United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidenhead United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Southend United vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Woking vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde Analysis →