Dorking Wanderers 1-3 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

Dorking Wanderers
1-3 HT 0-2
AFC Fylde
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.67 — our 29% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.15
1/2
9%
23.0
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
8%
6.67
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
13%
5.26
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
15%
2.99
2/X
7%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dorking Wanderers v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -30%
1.35/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.02
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Fylde
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-3 HT 3-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
08.02.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde FAK

Dorking Wanderers 1-3 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-3
AWAY AFC Fylde
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde saw off Dorking Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; AFC Fylde found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 64% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 36%, shots finished 24-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 3.50 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde?

Dorking Wanderers 1-3 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 34%, draw 28%, AFC Fylde 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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