Southend United 0-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

Southend United
0-1 HT 0-0
Gateshead
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Southend United vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.6
X/1
22%
3.56
X/2
8%
13.75
X/X
14%
6.8
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
8%
10.55
2/X
5%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.70/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.52
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Southend United vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
18.02.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
19.11.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL

Southend United 0-1 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
0-1
AWAY Gateshead
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Southend United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southend United had 51% of the ball to Gateshead's 49%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southend United and 1.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Gateshead?

Southend United 0-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Southend United 53%, draw 26%, Gateshead 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Southend United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ BTTS No
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