Halifax Town 1-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
14%
4.77
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.62
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.68
-4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halifax Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
28.03.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
11.03.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town FAK
17.09.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 5-1 HT 2-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
07.05.2022 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
25.09.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halifax Town
1-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town nicked a narrow win over Halifax Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Aldershot Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Halifax Town had 51% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halifax Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halifax Town and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town?

Halifax Town 1-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halifax Town vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halifax Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Halifax Town 39%, draw 31%, Aldershot Town 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Halifax Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halifax Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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