Weston-super-Mare 1-3 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +28%
2.29/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.03
+40% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
28.09.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare FAK
09.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town saw off Weston-super-Mare 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 0.50 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Weston-super-Mare 1-3 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 42%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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