Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Dec 2025

Queens Park Rangers
4-1 HT 4-0
Leicester City
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.49
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
10%
5.35
X/2
16%
6.03
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.27
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.8 Crosses 12.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.71 xG 1.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
262 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2025 Leicester City Leicester City 6-2 HT 3-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers FAK
02.03.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.10.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
31.07.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-3 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
24.05.2015 Leicester City Leicester City 5-1 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
29.11.2014 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP

Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
4-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.77 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
248 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers ran out comfortable winners over Leicester City 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queens Park Rangers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 45% of the ball to Leicester City's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.77 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 3.17 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City?

Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 41%, draw 26%, Leicester City 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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