Leicester City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
16%
3.71
X/2
8%
11.2
X/X
15%
5.6
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
8%
8.88
2/X
9%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +26%
1.92/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.2 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
398 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
31.07.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-3 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
24.05.2015 Leicester City Leicester City 5-1 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
29.11.2014 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
19.04.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
21.12.2013 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
1-2
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.04 xG 1.01
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
625 Passes 183
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers edged past Leicester City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leicester City had 74% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 26%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.04 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leicester City and 1.33 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Leicester City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 51%, draw 28%, Queens Park Rangers 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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