Leicester City 6-2 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
10%
11.45
X/X
11%
5.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.1
2/2
7%
8.72
2/X
7%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.96/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.27
-9% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
455 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.10.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
31.07.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-3 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
24.05.2015 Leicester City Leicester City 5-1 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
29.11.2014 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
19.04.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
6-2
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.96 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
468 Passes 388
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City ran out comfortable winners over Queens Park Rangers 6-2. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leicester City had 54% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 46%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.96 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leicester City and 1.67 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Leicester City 6-2 Queens Park Rangers in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 52%, draw 25%, Queens Park Rangers 23%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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