Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

Middlesbrough
0-1 HT 0-0
Blackburn Rovers
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.81
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.81 — our 24% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middlesbrough v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
-32% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
456 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.03.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
29.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
15.10.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.01.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL

Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
0-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers squeezed past Middlesbrough 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Blackburn Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 57% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 43%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 36%, draw 25%, Blackburn Rovers 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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