Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.16
X/2
8%
9.41
X/X
13%
5.44
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
16%
6.96
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.66/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.55
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.3 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
412 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
29.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
15.10.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.01.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.08.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
0-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.67 xG 1.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
573 Passes 348
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers edged past Middlesbrough 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 61% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 39%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.67 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 45%, draw 25%, Blackburn Rovers 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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