Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.27
X/2
11%
8.54
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.25
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.49/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.9 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
377 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
29.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
15.10.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.01.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.08.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.01.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
0-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.50 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
417 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough and Blackburn Rovers played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 54% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.50 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 45%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ BTTS Yes
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