Stoke City 0-3 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

Stoke City
0-3 HT 0-2
Norwich City
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Stoke City vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.76
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.51
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.92
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.09/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.41
-28% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.5 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stoke City vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Norwich City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.40 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.10.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
13.02.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 4-1 HT 2-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
24.11.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 2-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
22.04.2019 Stoke City Stoke City 2-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Stoke City 0-3 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-3
AWAY Norwich City
0.94 xG 2.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
314 Passes 432
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City cruised past Stoke City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Norwich City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stoke City had 45% of the ball to Norwich City's 55%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.94 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stoke City and 2.17 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Stoke City 0-3 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 35%, draw 29%, Norwich City 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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