Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

Plymouth Argyle
0-1 HT 0-1
Preston North End
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.01
X/2
14%
6.15
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.4
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +43%
1.51/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.03
+66% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.9 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
406 Passes 155
77% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
06.03.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
12.12.2009 Preston North End Preston North End 2-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
03.02.2009 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
21.10.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
19.04.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-1
AWAY Preston North End
0.66 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End edged past Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 58% of the ball to Preston North End's 42%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.66 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.33 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 37%, draw 29%, Preston North End 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Plymouth Argyle), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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