Birmingham vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham squeezed past Lincoln City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Birmingham had 53% of the ball to Lincoln City's 47%, shots finished 5-10.
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Lincoln City?
Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln City in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 42%, draw 27%, Lincoln City 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.