Liverpool 4-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
19%
12.6
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
6.37
Over 2.5
60%
1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
19.85
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
42%
3.63
4-5 Goals
28%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
2.21
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.63 — our 42% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
23%
4.32
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
6%
34.5
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
87%
-21.6pp
19%
Draw
6%
+13.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
13%
+26.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
87%
-26.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.14/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.24
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +101%
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.1 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
4-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
3.22 xG 0.69
79% Ball Possession 21%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
627 Passes 119
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
46 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool swept aside Accrington Stanley 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 79% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 21%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.22 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley?

Liverpool 4-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 65%, draw 19%, Accrington Stanley 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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