Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.56
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
11%
6.54
X/2
10%
5.05
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
17%
3.17
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.11/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.22
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 69%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.7 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 311
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton FAK
30.12.2017 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
12.09.2017 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-3 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
08.04.2017 Bristol City Bristol City 3-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
26.12.2016 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-2 HT 1-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
08.03.2016 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.35 xG 2.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
417 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton edged past Bristol City 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Wolverhampton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bristol City had 51% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 49%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.35 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wolverhampton's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bristol City and 2.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Wolverhampton?

Bristol City 1-2 Wolverhampton in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 40%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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