Thun vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Zürich — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-0
Thun
İSV
3-2
HT 3-2
Zürich
İSV
0-1
HT 0-1
Zürich
İSV
2-0
HT 1-0
Thun
İSV
3-0
HT 3-0
Thun
İSV
Thun 4-2 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics
Thun beat Zürich 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Thun had 54% of the ball to Zürich's 46%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 3.66 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thun and 1.83 for Zürich.
What was the final score of Thun vs Zürich?
Thun 4-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Zürich?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thun 45%, draw 26%, Zürich 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.