Basel 1-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.82
2-3 Goals
33%
1.94
4-5 Goals
31%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
12%
9.55
X/X
8%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.3
2/2
8%
6.71
2/X
6%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
2.01/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.1 Crosses 22.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Servette
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.39 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
366 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Servette Servette 0-3 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
04.05.2025 Basel Basel 5-1 HT 3-0 Servette Servette İSV
09.02.2025 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
24.11.2024 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
11.08.2024 Servette Servette 0-6 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
14.04.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-1
AWAY Servette
1.12 xG 2.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
475 Passes 285
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and Servette shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel had 60% of the ball to Servette's 40%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.12 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Basel and 0.83 for Servette.

What was the final score of Basel vs Servette?

Basel 1-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Basel 53%, draw 22%, Servette 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
20 Dec 2025
20:00 Thun vs Zürich Analysis →