Servette 0-3 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.32
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.26
1/2
7%
21.75
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
10%
7.01
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.55
X/X
7%
5.73
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
19%
2.96
2/X
7%
12.0
Value flag · X/2 at 5.55 — our 20% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.19/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.42
-35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.0 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Basel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.05 xG 2.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
342 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Basel Basel 5-1 HT 3-0 Servette Servette İSV
09.02.2025 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
24.11.2024 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
11.08.2024 Servette Servette 0-6 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
14.04.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
12.11.2023 Servette Servette 4-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
0-3
AWAY Basel
1.75 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
432 Passes 367
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel cruised past Servette 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Servette had 55% of the ball to Basel's 45%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Servette.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Servette and 3.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Servette vs Basel?

Servette 0-3 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Servette 30%, draw 23%, Basel 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
5 Oct 2025
15:00 Lausanne Sports vs Young Boys Analysis →
17:30 Winterthur vs Lugano Analysis →