Athletic Carpi 1-1 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.97
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-1
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi and Nuova Monterosi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 60% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 40%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Nuova Monterosi?

Athletic Carpi 1-1 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 38%, draw 27%, Nuova Monterosi 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Carpi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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