Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.95
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Picerno
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
16.11.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
11.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTCK
11.02.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
01.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-1
AWAY Picerno
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and Picerno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento Calcio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 53% of the ball to Picerno's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.60 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno?

Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 47%, draw 26%, Picerno 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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