Picerno 2-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.16/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.67
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
11.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTCK
11.02.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
01.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno saw off Sorrento Calcio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Picerno had 62% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Picerno and 0.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Sorrento Calcio?

Picerno 2-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Picerno 44%, draw 30%, Sorrento Calcio 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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