Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
5.7
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.62/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.89
+34% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Picerno
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTCK
11.02.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
01.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-1
AWAY Picerno
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and Picerno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento Calcio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 52% of the ball to Picerno's 48%, shots finished 23-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.67 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno?

Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 44%, draw 24%, Picerno 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sorrento Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
16 Nov 2024
17:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Trento AC Analysis →
17:00 Pergolettese vs Alcione Analysis →
17:00 Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
17:00 Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
19:30 GIANA Erminio vs Lecco Analysis →
19:30 Pineto vs Perugia Analysis →