Salernitana 2-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2025

Salernitana
2-1 HT 2-1
Foggia Calcio
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Salernitana vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.71
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Salernitana vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.02 xG 1.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
295 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-1 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
23.12.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
12.05.2018 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
21.12.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 0-3 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
20.02.2015 Salernitana Salernitana 2-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC

Salernitana 2-1 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salernitana had 53% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 47%, shots finished 22-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Salernitana and 1.80 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Foggia Calcio?

Salernitana 2-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 66%, draw 20%, Foggia Calcio 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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