Hamburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 20 Dec 2025

Hamburg
1-1 HT 1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.46
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.61
X/2
12%
6.3
X/X
17%
4.78
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.15
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburg v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.51/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.34
-35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
23.1 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2018 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
12.12.2017 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
18.03.2017 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
21.10.2016 Hamburg Hamburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
19.02.2016 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
19.09.2015 Hamburg Hamburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Hamburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
1-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.75 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamburg had 40% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 60%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Hamburg and 1.33 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Hamburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 40%, draw 28%, Eintracht Frankfurt 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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