Saint-Étienne (K) 0-1 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.4pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.9pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.95
-37% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
174 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dijon (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 317
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
10.02.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0-1
AWAY Dijon (K)
1.11 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
232 Passes 374
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) squeezed past Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dijon (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 42% of the ball to Dijon (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dijon (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 1.00 for Dijon (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 0-1 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 28%, draw 19%, Dijon (K) 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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