21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Sangiuliano City vs Corticella Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
69%
22%
Draw
19%
37%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sangiuliano City v Corticella — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sangiuliano City
The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Corticella
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
512 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
212 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sangiuliano City vs Corticella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sangiuliano City and Corticella shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Sangiuliano City vs Corticella?
Sangiuliano City 1-1 Corticella in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sangiuliano City vs Corticella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sangiuliano City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sangiuliano City 41%, draw 22%, Corticella 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sangiuliano City), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sangiuliano City)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Italy - Serie D
21 Jan 2024