Locri 1909 0-3 Licata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
26%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
33%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
72%
-21.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
26%
Away Win
11%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Locri 1909 The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Licata The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Locri 1909
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Licata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.09.2023 Licata 1-1 Locri 1909 İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Locri 1909
0-3
AWAY Licata
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Locri 1909 vs Licata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Licata ran out comfortable winners over Locri 1909 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Locri 1909 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Locri 1909 had 61% of the ball to Licata's 39%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Locri 1909 vs Licata?

Locri 1909 0-3 Licata in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Locri 1909 vs Licata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Locri 1909 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Locri 1909 51%, draw 23%, Licata 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Locri 1909), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Locri 1909) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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