Casateserogoredo 1-4 Piacenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
34%
4-5
24%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casateserogoredo The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Piacenza The Market 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casateserogoredo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Piacenza
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.09.2023 Piacenza Piacenza 1-3 Casateserogoredo Casateserogoredo İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casateserogoredo
1-4
AWAY Piacenza
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Casateserogoredo vs Piacenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piacenza swept aside Casateserogoredo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Piacenza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Casateserogoredo had 52% of the ball to Piacenza's 48%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Casateserogoredo vs Piacenza?

Casateserogoredo 1-4 Piacenza in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casateserogoredo vs Piacenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piacenza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Casateserogoredo 28%, draw 25%, Piacenza 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piacenza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Piacenza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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