Derthona 1908 1-0 Pinerolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
35%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
32%
4-5
28%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.3pp
35%
Away Win
48%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derthona 1908 The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinerolo The Market 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derthona 1908
1-0
AWAY Pinerolo
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Derthona 1908 vs Pinerolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derthona 1908 nicked a narrow win over Pinerolo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Derthona 1908 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Derthona 1908 had 46% of the ball to Pinerolo's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Derthona 1908 vs Pinerolo?

Derthona 1908 1-0 Pinerolo in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derthona 1908 vs Pinerolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pinerolo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Derthona 1908 31%, draw 34%, Pinerolo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pinerolo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pinerolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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