21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Atletico Uri vs Budoni Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
30%
27%
Draw
29%
40%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Uri v Budoni — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Atletico Uri
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Budoni
The Market 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
244 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
439 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Atletico Uri vs Budoni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Budoni edged past Atletico Uri 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Budoni found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Atletico Uri vs Budoni?
Atletico Uri 2-3 Budoni in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Uri vs Budoni?
Before kick-off our model rated an Budoni win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Uri 32%, draw 27%, Budoni 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budoni) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Budoni)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
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21 Jan 2024