21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Gelbison vs Angri Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
23%
19%
Draw
25%
39%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gelbison v Angri Calcio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gelbison
The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Angri Calcio
The Market 56%
+66% /
+66%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
225 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
451 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gelbison vs Angri Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gelbison
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Angri Calcio
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gelbison vs Angri Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gelbison beat Angri Calcio 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 39% — and on the day Gelbison made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Gelbison vs Angri Calcio?
Gelbison 2-0 Angri Calcio in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gelbison vs Angri Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gelbison win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gelbison 42%, draw 19%, Angri Calcio 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gelbison) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gelbison)
✗ Over 2.5
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21 Jan 2024