21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Cassino vs San Marzano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
44%
30%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cassino v San Marzano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cassino
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
San Marzano
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
362 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
305 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Cassino vs San Marzano Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cassino
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
San Marzano
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Cassino vs San Marzano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cassino ran out comfortable winners over San Marzano 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Cassino made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cassino vs San Marzano?
Cassino 3-0 San Marzano in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cassino vs San Marzano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cassino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cassino 38%, draw 30%, San Marzano 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cassino) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cassino)
✗ Under 2.5
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21 Jan 2024