Fas 1-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 21 Jan 2024

Fas
1-1 HT 1-0
D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Fas vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.2
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.1
X/1
14%
3.55
X/2
9%
9.89
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
12%
9.12
2/X
7%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fas v D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.65/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.51
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.2 Crosses 8.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fas vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
1W-2D-1L
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 180
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2022 Fas Fas 4-1 HT 2-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti DKE
25.03.2022 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-0 Fas Fas DKE
13.10.2020 Fas Fas 1-1 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti HAZ
16.01.2017 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 HT 0-0 Fas Fas AFUK

Fas 1-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
1-1
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1.09 xG 1.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fas vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas and D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fas at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Fas had 54% of the ball to D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.09 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fas and 1.00 for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Fas vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Fas 1-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fas 48%, draw 27%, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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