Güney Afrika 4-0 Namibya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
3.07
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
11%
4.28
X/2
7%
6.54
X/X
14%
3.73
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
5.52
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Namibya EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.09/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.54
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Namibya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 0.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
506 Passes 220
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 0-0 HT 0-0 Namibya Namibya HAZ
05.07.2023 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 0-1 Namibya Namibya CAFCOS
28.06.2019 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-0 HT 0-0 Namibya Namibya AFUK
03.03.2010 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 0-1 Namibya Namibya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
4-0
AWAY Namibya
2.30 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
257 Passes 230
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Namibya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika cruised past Namibya 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Afrika as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 51% of the ball to Namibya's 49%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 2.30 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Güney Afrika had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Güney Afrika and 0.50 for Namibya.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Namibya?

Güney Afrika 4-0 Namibya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Namibya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 48%, draw 24%, Namibya 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Afrika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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