Zambiya 1-1 Tanzanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.42
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.46
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
9%
3.79
X/2
8%
8.42
X/X
12%
4.02
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.41
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zambiya EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanzanya EU Bookmakers 24%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.07/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.93
-23% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
Crosses 16.7
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zambiya
1-1
AWAY Tanzanya
1.03 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
353 Passes 457
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zambiya vs Tanzanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zambiya and Tanzanya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zambiya at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zambiya had 45% of the ball to Tanzanya's 55%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Zambiya vs Tanzanya?

Zambiya 1-1 Tanzanya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zambiya vs Tanzanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zambiya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zambiya 52%, draw 27%, Tanzanya 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zambiya) ✗ BTTS No
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