Western United (K) 1-0 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
1-0
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.97 xG 0.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 412
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) edged past Adelaide United (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Western United (K) had 41% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 59%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.97 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Western United (K) 1-0 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 54%, draw 23%, Adelaide United (K) 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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