Coxim MS 1-1 Portuguesa MS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense, 21 Jan 2024

Coxim MS
1-1
Portuguesa MS
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense – 2024

Coxim MS vs Portuguesa MS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No Pick
64%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
31%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coxim MS v Portuguesa MS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coxim MS The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa MS The Market 52%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Coxim MS vs Portuguesa MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coxim MS and Portuguesa MS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portuguesa MS at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Coxim MS vs Portuguesa MS?

Coxim MS 1-1 Portuguesa MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coxim MS vs Portuguesa MS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portuguesa MS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coxim MS 29%, draw 27%, Portuguesa MS 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portuguesa MS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa MS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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