Eastern District 4-4 Sai Kung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.1pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.68/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.96
-44% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
465 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sai Kung
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Sai Kung Sai Kung 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Sai Kung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District and Sai Kung couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Eastern District carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Sai Kung?

Eastern District 4-4 Sai Kung in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Sai Kung?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 66%, draw 18%, Sai Kung 16%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eastern District) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastern District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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