South China 4-1 Wong Tai Sin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
77%
-14.8pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
3.96/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/3.14
+24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 0-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
16.04.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-5 HT 0-3 South China South China HK2
09.10.2022 South China South China 3-1 HT 3-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
14.11.2021 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-2 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
16.10.2015 South China South China 2-1 HT 1-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK1
08.03.2015 South China South China 4-0 HT 1-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
4-1
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH South China vs Wong Tai Sin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Wong Tai Sin 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, South China had 61% of the ball to Wong Tai Sin's 39%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South China had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for South China and 0.67 for Wong Tai Sin.

What was the final score of South China vs Wong Tai Sin?

South China 4-1 Wong Tai Sin in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Wong Tai Sin?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split South China 62%, draw 19%, Wong Tai Sin 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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