Yuen Long 2-2 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
25%
+17.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
52%
-18.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 56%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.80/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.48
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -69%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kowloon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
15.01.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
2-2
AWAY Kowloon City
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long and Kowloon City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Yuen Long had 46% of the ball to Kowloon City's 54%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yuen Long and 1.00 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Kowloon City?

Yuen Long 2-2 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 43%, draw 24%, Kowloon City 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yuen Long), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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