Atlas 0-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.4
6+ Goals
11%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.55
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
8%
5.01
X/2
18%
5.75
X/X
9%
3.93
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
10%
4.32
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.17/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.0 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tijuana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
04.03.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.07.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.02.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
29.10.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.04.2021 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-0
AWAY Tijuana
1.66 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
384 Passes 236
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Tijuana fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atlas had 59% of the ball to Tijuana's 41%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atlas and 1.50 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Tijuana?

Atlas 0-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlas 39%, draw 26%, Tijuana 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlas)
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