Club America 2-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.55
X/1
21%
3.62
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
11%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.75
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
5%
18.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.85/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.84
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.1 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Queretaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
401 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
08.01.2023 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
24.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
02.03.2022 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
23.07.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
14.02.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-0
AWAY Queretaro
2.58 xG 0.21
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
608 Passes 171
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America beat Queretaro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club America had 72% of the ball to Queretaro's 28%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.58 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club America and 0.50 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Club America vs Queretaro?

Club America 2-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Club America 61%, draw 21%, Queretaro 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5
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