Toluca vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 4-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca made light work of Mazatlan 4-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Toluca's favour, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.68 to 2.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Toluca against 1.17 for Mazatlan.
Toluca vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Toluca 69%, draw 18%, Mazatlan 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.