Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

Chaves
0-0 HT 0-0
Rio Ave
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chaves vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.37
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.69
X/2
13%
4.93
X/X
10%
3.88
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.56
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.47/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.09
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.5 Crosses 17.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chaves vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rio Ave
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
247 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
26.02.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
05.09.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
15.05.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
10.02.2022 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 2-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR2
24.07.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave HAZ

Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-0
AWAY Rio Ave
1.88 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 0
301 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves and Rio Ave fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chaves had 49% of the ball to Rio Ave's 51%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.88 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chaves and 1.33 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Rio Ave?

Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaves 33%, draw 29%, Rio Ave 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rio Ave) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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