Oldham Athletic 0-2 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.9
Over
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.26
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.27
6+
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
14%
6.41
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
9%
4.36
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.45/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.71
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
180 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-2D-0L
AWAY York City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.02.2024 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
19.09.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
24.01.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
29.08.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
0-2
AWAY York City
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City got the better of Oldham Athletic 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 61% of the ball to York City's 39%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oldham Athletic and 0.50 for York City.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs York City?

Oldham Athletic 0-2 York City in the England - National League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 42%, draw 28%, York City 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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